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2024-12-14 00:50:15

So yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower. Is it really big money that is smashing the market? This can actually be seen from yesterday's transaction data. In this morning's [A-share news], Brother Jun analyzed in detail the position adjustment actions of institutions and hot money seats yesterday. Although yesterday's institutional funds did have a moderate net outflow, the outflow of institutional funds was only due to the decrease in buying, not the release of selling.Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.


Yesterday, both the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index opened sharply higher and went lower, which was very ugly. After the A-share market closed, the decline of Hong Kong stocks expanded. Last night, the FTSE A50 and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index both showed obvious corrections, and the China Jinlong Index fell by more than 4%!What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!


Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.According to the analysis of Jun Ge [A-share news] this morning, there were only seven stocks with a net purchase of more than 10 million in the main institutional seats yesterday, and three of them came from the same sector, that is, prepared dishes! Prefabricated dishes are a relatively flexible subdivision direction in the theme of big consumption. Under normal circumstances, the main institutions rarely switch positions to the theme of big consumption, because the growth of the theme of big consumption is generally not high, which belongs to a typical defensive theme. Yesterday, the main institutions suddenly increased their positions to prepare vegetables, which needs our great attention.Combined with today's disk, consumer themes generally performed well, with retail, duty-free shops, community group buying, prepared vegetables and food processing leading the way. In the top ten sectors of the increase list, it accounts for half of the country! The previous robots and artificial intelligence have significantly increased their differentiation today. Fortunately, these two old hot trends have not wavered, otherwise it will have a greater impact on market sentiment.

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